Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 8.776414 10.187679 11.704282 13.449594 15.396770 17.496464 19.925812
2025-04-27 7.163384 9.028647 11.161118 13.759855 16.820622 20.290052 24.498026
2025-05-04 5.924796 8.020235 10.545825 13.773655 17.745895 22.429744 28.321836
2025-05-11 4.745971 6.878796 9.580745 13.188626 17.807505 23.446903 30.769196
2025-05-18 3.985782 6.147374 9.010888 12.984390 18.247273 24.865078 33.687355
2025-05-25 3.346731 5.482293 8.434876 12.682432 18.487360 25.984544 36.218021
2025-06-01 2.870457 4.978162 8.011046 12.520947 18.861271 27.247228 38.934328
2025-06-08 2.430489 4.465842 7.514035 12.196509 18.962138 28.116467 41.127567
2025-06-15 2.165347 4.188426 7.326517 12.284480 19.617250 29.730879 44.343050
2025-06-22 1.899055 3.872581 7.045014 12.200190 20.002398 30.966936 47.062225
2025-06-29 1.717482 3.675774 6.927019 12.344424 20.711695 32.664029 50.452312
2025-07-06 1.560944 3.502099 6.826925 12.500837 21.433502 34.389619 53.919198
2025-07-13 1.455406 3.411208 6.858272 12.869407 22.496640 36.650879 58.228151
2025-07-20 1.340765 3.287666 6.820852 13.118307 23.378639 38.668269 62.236977
2025-07-27 1.199736 3.092349 6.638542 13.110017 23.848928 40.081866 65.399488
2025-08-03 0.999463 2.744216 6.146642 12.538829 23.385641 40.066737 66.451197
2025-08-10 0.871935 2.531703 5.883221 12.338945 23.503211 40.923351 68.801930
2025-08-17 0.750127 2.311628 5.582355 12.047499 23.447300 41.498991 70.732451
2025-08-24 0.657293 2.143835 5.366702 11.891852 23.604287 42.401417 73.169898
2025-08-31 0.561542 1.951011 5.079546 11.580257 23.473587 42.834903 74.887415
2025-09-07 0.510349 1.864538 5.005498 11.664544 24.027132 44.371855 78.342146
2025-09-14 0.451749 1.746961 4.852360 11.583620 24.281803 45.426475 81.060894
2025-09-21 0.414780 1.683839 4.812867 11.721989 24.929339 47.135935 84.844630